Swimmer profile

Orion Tsai

Male15-16Rose Bowl AquaticsSCS · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 16
Current (today)
699
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #11650 Free SCY16:52.53718
  • #2500 Free SCY4:49.90706
  • #3400 IM SCY4:19.58662
  • #4200 Free SCY1:49.77627
Projected (age 17)
719
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #11650 Free SCY16:36.09754
  • #2500 Free SCY4:48.13719
  • #3400 IM SCY4:19.58662
  • #4200 Free SCY1:48.40651
College Ceiling (age 21)
715range 699768
D2/D3 RealisticD1 Mid-Major

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1500 Free SCY4:46.03735
  • #21650 Free SCY16:52.53718
  • #3200 Free SCY1:46.79681
  • #4200 IM SCY1:59.41663
Coach viewPIe ≈ 33(2838)typical outcome D3 (86%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 200 IM SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Orion

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D2/D3 Realistic.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (719 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 699 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
1650 Free SCY16:52.5315:57.14−55.39s
500 Free SCY4:49.904:33.79−16.11s
400 IM SCY4:19.583:47.46−32.12s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 132 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Carthage College

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

467

Recruit median

420

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Transylvania University

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

540

Recruit median

400

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Dickinson College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

638

Recruit median

490

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

579

Recruit median

420

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

613

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.