Swimmer profile

Lily Vargas

Female15-16Santa Maria Swim ClubSCS · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 15
Current (today)
476
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1200 IM SCY2:29.70488
  • #2100 Breast SCY1:17.01480
  • #350 Free SCY29.05451
  • #4100 Free SCY1:03.98438
Projected (age 17)
612
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Breast SCY1:09.72647
  • #2200 IM SCY2:18.56616
  • #350 Free SCY26.99563
  • #4200 Breast SCY2:46.09494
College Ceiling (age 21)
876range 4761020
D1 Mid-MajorD1 Power 4

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Breast SCY1:00.67982
  • #2200 IM SCY2:04.35852
  • #350 Free SCY24.35766
  • #4200 Breast SCY2:32.20642
Coach viewPIe ≈ 73(5283)typical outcome D3 (90%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 200 Breast SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Lily

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (612 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 476 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

No single-event drop within reachable bounds gets 476 all the way to 600. The gap from Building Base to D2/D3 Realistic closes through broad improvement — multiple events moving together. That’s exactly what college coaches want to see; specialists rarely make this jump on one event alone.

Best school matches

Top 5 of 165 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Augustana College (IL)

WomenCCIWD3

Match

Your Team Fit

434

Recruit median

420

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

WomenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

552

Recruit median

480

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Franklin College

WomenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

465

Recruit median

390

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Skidmore College

WomenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

550

Recruit median

470

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Hartwick College

WomenEmpire 8D3

Safety

Your Team Fit

467

Recruit median

380

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.