Swimmer profile

Ocean Serrano

Male15-16Aulea Swim ClubHI · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 15
Current (today)
698
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #11650 Free SCY16:44.06736
  • #2500 Free SCY4:50.19703
  • #3200 Back SCY1:59.61623
  • #4200 IM SCY2:02.21619
Projected (age 17)
752
D1 Mid-Major

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Free SCY46.58762
  • #2500 Free SCY4:43.75752
  • #31650 Free SCY16:44.06736
  • #4200 IM SCY1:55.69729
College Ceiling (age 21)
836range 6981111
D1 Mid-MajorBlue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Free SCY44.03903
  • #2200 IM SCY1:51.95805
  • #3500 Free SCY4:39.95783
  • #4200 Free SCY1:43.20754
Coach viewPIe ≈ 33(2838)typical outcome D3 (86%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Free SCY, 200 Free SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ocean

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D2/D3 Realistic.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (752 → D1 Mid-Major) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 698 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
1650 Free SCY16:44.0615:50.01−54.05s
500 Free SCY4:50.194:33.92−16.27s
200 Back SCY1:59.611:44.02−15.59s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 133 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Lynn University

MenSSCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1042

Recruit median

980

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Grand Valley State University

MenGLIACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1042

Recruit median

970

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

University of Findlay

MenGMACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1042

Recruit median

1000

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

West Chester University

MenPSACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1042

Recruit median

1000

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Rutgers University

MenBig TenD1

Match

Your Team Fit

938

Recruit median

910

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.