Swimmer profile
Ethan Downing
Male15-16Sacramento Aquatics ClubSN · WESTERN
SR Rating
NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 seasonBased on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.
- #150 Free SCY24.26514
- #2100 Free SCY53.48504
- #3100 Breast SCY1:07.01483
- #4200 Free SCY2:01.04467
Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.
- #1100 Breast SCY57.10781
- #250 Free SCY21.88700
- #3100 Free SCY48.65669
- #4200 IM SCY1:59.45663
College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.
- #1100 Breast SCYCONF49.951166
- #2200 IM SCYCONF1:39.811136
- #3200 Breast SCY1:51.661091
- #450 Free SCY18.941080
Refine your College CeilingTesting
Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.
What this means for Ethan
Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.
Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (724 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.
Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.
What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic
Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 502 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.
| Event | Current | Target | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Free SCY | 24.26 | 21.25 | −3.01s |
| 100 Free SCY | 53.48 | 46.74 | −6.74s |
Best school matches
Top 5 of 131 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.
Cal State East Bay
Men • CCAA • D2
Your Team Fit
818
Recruit median
800
In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.
Harding University
Men • GAC • D2
Your Team Fit
818
Recruit median
800
In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.
Maryville University
Men • GLVC • D2
Your Team Fit
818
Recruit median
810
In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.
William Jewell College
Men • GLVC • D2
Your Team Fit
818
Recruit median
800
In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.
Saint Anselm College
Men • NE-10 • D2
Your Team Fit
818
Recruit median
800
In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.
Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?
Custom college fit
Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.
682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.