Swimmer profile

Ariel Yuan

Female15-16Orinda AquaticsPC · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
629
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1100 Breast SCY1:09.44655
  • #2200 Breast SCY2:33.56625
  • #350 Free SCY26.47596
  • #4100 Free SCY58.58571
Projected (age 17)
649
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Breast SCY1:08.50682
  • #2200 IM SCY2:17.51630
  • #3200 Breast SCY2:33.56625
  • #450 Free SCY26.16618
College Ceiling (age 21)
792range 629893
D1 Mid-Major

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 IM SCY2:04.16856
  • #2100 Breast SCY1:05.94765
  • #3100 Back SCY58.01748
  • #450 Free SCY25.33681
Coach viewPIe ≈ 41(2446)typical outcome D3 (79%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 200 IM SCY, 100 Back SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ariel

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D2/D3 Realistic.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (649 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 629 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
100 Breast SCY1:09.441:01.00−8.44s
200 Breast SCY2:33.562:14.21−19.35s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 167 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Franklin & Marshall College

WomenCentennialD3

Match

Your Team Fit

601

Recruit median

560

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Gettysburg College

WomenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

708

Recruit median

550

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

WomenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

638

Recruit median

480

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Hartwick College

WomenEmpire 8D3

Safety

Your Team Fit

564

Recruit median

380

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Swarthmore College

WomenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

766

Recruit median

540

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.