Swimmer profile

Tagai Erkinov

Male15-16Harbor Seals/Bay Ridge Aquatic InstituteMR · EASTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 15
Current (today)
546
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #150 Free SCY23.28581
  • #2100 Free SCY52.30539
  • #3100 Back SCY58.32500
  • #4200 Free SCY1:58.80494
Projected (age 17)
832
D1 Mid-Major

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #150 Free SCY19.83941
  • #2100 Back SCY49.69809
  • #3200 Back SCY1:55.98683
  • #4100 Breast SCY1:00.07671
College Ceiling (age 21)
1166range 5461166
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 Back SCYCONF1:37.031167
  • #2100 Breast SCYCONF49.951166
  • #350 Free SCYCONF18.461166
  • #4100 Back SCYCONF43.981166
Coach viewPIe ≈ 61(4069)typical outcome D3 (93%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 200 Back SCY, 100 Breast SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Tagai

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (832 → D1 Mid-Major) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 546 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
50 Free SCY23.2821.69−1.59s
100 Free SCY52.3048.49−3.81s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 131 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Gettysburg College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

597

Recruit median

540

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Fairleigh Dickinson-Florham

MenMACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

597

Recruit median

380

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Franklin & Marshall College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

768

Recruit median

550

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Swarthmore College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

768

Recruit median

530

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Carthage College

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

683

Recruit median

420

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.