Swimmer profile

Ryan Lipski

Male17-18Parkway-Rockwood Gateway Swim ClubOZ · CENTRAL

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 18
Current (today)
661
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #150 Free SCY21.88700
  • #2100 Free SCY49.12650
  • #3500 Free SCY5:03.88613
  • #4100 Fly SCY54.38610
Projected
661
D2/D3 Realistic

You're at or past recruiting peak. SR Projected here equals SR Current — no forward projection is applied past age 17.

  • #150 Free SCY21.88700
  • #2100 Free SCY49.12650
  • #3500 Free SCY5:03.88613
  • #4100 Fly SCY54.38610
College Ceiling (age 21)
667range 661766
D2/D3 RealisticD1 Mid-Major

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #150 Free SCY21.78710
  • #2100 Free SCY49.06652
  • #3100 Fly SCY54.13618
  • #4500 Free SCY5:03.88613
Coach viewPIe ≈ 33(2838)typical outcome D3 (86%)

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ryan

D2/D3 Realistic recruit, D1 Mid-Major ceiling.

Recruiting window is active. Your optimistic ceiling projects to D1 Mid-Major territory through college junior year. The modest gap between Current and Ceiling reflects college-years upside coaches should weigh in their evaluation — particularly if biological maturation is still ongoing.

Maturity context: The D2/D3 Realistic → D1 Mid-Major ceiling-range transition is the late-developer story: data signal alone doesn't flag it, but the spread between conservative and optimistic ceilings suggests biological development may not yet be complete. (We're working on a parent-input layer to refine this — see methodology §4.7.)

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 661 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
50 Free SCY21.8819.92−1.96s
100 Free SCY49.1244.44−4.68s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 129 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Widener University

MenMACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

505

Recruit median

410

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Wheaton College (IL)

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

554

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

574

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Skidmore College

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

608

Recruit median

460

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Augustana College (IL)

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

568

Recruit median

410

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.