Swimmer profile

AJ Merced

Male17-18Newark Wahoos Swim ClubNI · EASTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 18
Current (today)
574
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1500 Free SCY5:09.03582
  • #2200 Free SCY1:52.93575
  • #3100 Free SCY51.53563
  • #4200 IM SCY2:07.33547
Projected
574
Building Base

You're at or past recruiting peak. SR Projected here equals SR Current — no forward projection is applied past age 17.

  • #1500 Free SCY5:09.03582
  • #2200 Free SCY1:52.93575
  • #3100 Free SCY51.53563
  • #4200 IM SCY2:07.33547
College Ceiling (age 21)
668range 574798
D2/D3 RealisticD1 Mid-Major

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Back SCY52.70678
  • #2400 IM SCY4:18.63669
  • #350 Free SCY22.38654
  • #4500 Free SCY4:59.63639
Coach viewPIe ≈ 50(3156)typical outcome D3 (89%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Back SCY, 400 IM SCY, 50 Free SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for AJ

Borderline D2/D3 Realistic recruit — D1 Mid-Major ceiling.

Recruiting window is active. Your Current (574) is just 26 points below the D2/D3 Realistic threshold — effectively a D2/D3 Realistic caliber recruit for evaluation purposes. Your optimistic ceiling projects to D1 Mid-Major territory through college junior year. The meaningful gap between Current and Ceiling reflects college-years upside coaches should weigh in their evaluation — particularly if biological maturation is still ongoing.

Maturity context: Data flags continued improvement well past age 15 — bring this trajectory to recruiting visits as part of the evaluation story.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 574 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
500 Free SCY5:09.034:58.24−10.79s
200 Free SCY1:52.931:48.94−3.99s
100 Free SCY51.5347.41−4.12s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 118 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Messiah University

MenMACD3

Match

Your Team Fit

501

Recruit median

460

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Union College (NY)

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

544

Recruit median

480

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Swarthmore College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

634

Recruit median

530

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Vassar College

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

548

Recruit median

440

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Marymount University (VA)

MenAtlantic EastD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

501

Recruit median

370

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.