Swimmer profile

John Cao

Male15-16Shawmut Aquatic ClubNE · EASTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 16
Current (today)
661
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1200 Breast SCY2:11.17673
  • #2100 Breast SCY1:00.19667
  • #3200 IM SCY2:01.32632
  • #4400 IM SCY4:25.94615
Projected (age 17)
669
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Breast SCY59.86678
  • #2200 Breast SCY2:11.17673
  • #3400 IM SCY4:21.47647
  • #4200 IM SCY2:00.99638
College Ceiling (age 21)
684range 661739
D2/D3 Realistic

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Breast SCY59.47691
  • #2400 IM SCY4:16.22688
  • #3200 Breast SCY2:11.17673
  • #4200 IM SCY2:00.61644
Coach viewPIe ≈ 33(2838)typical outcome D3 (86%)

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for John

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D2/D3 Realistic.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (669 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 661 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
200 Breast SCY2:11.171:58.95−12.22s
100 Breast SCY1:00.1954.54−5.65s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 132 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Michigan Technological University

MenGLIACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

920

Recruit median

840

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Truman State University

MenGLVCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

920

Recruit median

910

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Missouri University of Science and Tech

MenGLVCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

920

Recruit median

870

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Azusa Pacific University

MenPacWestD2

Match

Your Team Fit

920

Recruit median

860

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Carson-Newman University

MenSACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

920

Recruit median

850

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.