Swimmer profile

Carson Lu

Male15-16Katy Aquatic Team For YouthGU · SOUTHERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 16
Current (today)
739
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1100 Breast SCY57.04783
  • #2200 Breast SCY2:08.32719
  • #3400 IM SCY4:14.96698
  • #4200 IM SCY1:58.20684
Projected (age 17)
766
D1 Mid-Major

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Breast SCY56.03826
  • #2400 IM SCY4:11.03732
  • #3200 Breast SCY2:07.61731
  • #450 Free SCY21.90698
College Ceiling (age 21)
814range 739980
D1 Mid-MajorD1 Power 4

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Breast SCY54.85881
  • #2400 IM SCY4:06.40774
  • #350 Free SCY21.17773
  • #4200 Breast SCY2:06.77746
Coach viewPIe ≈ 26(2230)typical outcome D3 (76%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 50 Free SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Carson

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D2/D3 Realistic.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (766 → D1 Mid-Major) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 739 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
100 Breast SCY57.0456.35−0.69s
200 Breast SCY2:08.322:06.62−1.70s
400 IM SCY4:14.964:06.82−8.14s
200 IM SCY1:58.201:48.91−9.29s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 133 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

University of Findlay

MenGMACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1071

Recruit median

1000

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Lynn University

MenSSCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1071

Recruit median

980

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

West Chester University

MenPSACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1071

Recruit median

1000

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Wingate University

MenSACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1011

Recruit median

980

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Rutgers University

MenBig TenD1

Match

Your Team Fit

949

Recruit median

910

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.