Swimmer profile

Ella Buss

Female15-16Southern Tide Swim ClubSC · SOUTHERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 15
Current (today)
568
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1400 IM SCY5:01.46593
  • #2200 Free SCY2:08.19558
  • #3200 IM SCY2:24.03548
  • #4100 Free SCY1:00.14528
Projected (age 17)
696
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1200 IM SCY2:09.78749
  • #2400 IM SCY4:47.98680
  • #3200 Free SCY2:02.52639
  • #4100 Free SCY57.47605
College Ceiling (age 21)
929range 568990
D1 Mid-MajorD1 Power 4

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 IM SCYCONF1:52.171161
  • #2100 Back SCY55.87837
  • #3100 Fly SCY58.71716
  • #4400 IM SCY5:01.46593
Coach viewPIe ≈ 49(3056)typical outcome D3 (82%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Back SCY, 100 Fly SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ella

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (696 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 568 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
400 IM SCY5:01.464:48.72−12.74s
200 Free SCY2:08.192:02.47−5.72s
200 IM SCY2:24.032:09.86−14.17s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 162 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Skidmore College

WomenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

527

Recruit median

470

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Swarthmore College

WomenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

631

Recruit median

540

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Dickinson College

WomenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

631

Recruit median

500

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Union College (NY)

WomenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

631

Recruit median

490

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Illinois Wesleyan University

WomenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

631

Recruit median

470

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.