Swimmer profile

Joshua Carden

Male15-16J Swim ClubAZ · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 15
Current (today)
554
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #150 Free SCY23.14592
  • #2100 Free SCY51.52563
  • #3200 Free SCY1:59.97480
  • #4100 Back SCY1:00.93439
Projected (age 17)
585
Building Base

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Fly SCY54.89593
  • #250 Free SCY23.14592
  • #3100 Free SCY51.52563
  • #4200 IM SCY2:06.77554
College Ceiling (age 21)
554range 554554
Building Base

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #150 Free SCY23.14592
  • #2100 Free SCY51.52563
  • #3200 Free SCY1:59.97480
  • #4100 Back SCY1:00.93439
Coach viewPIe ≈ 50(3156)typical outcome D3 (89%)

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Joshua

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (585 → Building Base) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 554 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
50 Free SCY23.1421.77−1.37s
100 Free SCY51.5248.34−3.18s
200 Free SCY1:59.971:42.51−17.46s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 129 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

499

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Skidmore College

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

633

Recruit median

460

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Swarthmore College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

797

Recruit median

530

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Augustana College (IL)

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

677

Recruit median

410

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Transylvania University

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

696

Recruit median

400

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.