Swimmer profile

Ethan Lowe

Male15-16Canyons Aquatic ClubSCS · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
576
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1100 Fly SCY53.83629
  • #2200 Fly SCY2:06.97546
  • #3100 Free SCY52.39536
  • #4500 Free SCY5:18.49532
Projected (age 17)
608
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Fly SCY53.36645
  • #2100 Breast SCY1:02.82586
  • #3200 Breast SCY2:17.50584
  • #4200 Fly SCY2:05.16570
College Ceiling (age 21)
793range 576901
D1 Mid-Major

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 Breast SCY2:01.89839
  • #2100 Breast SCY56.36812
  • #3100 Fly SCY52.10693
  • #4200 Fly SCY2:00.23643
Coach viewPIe ≈ 50(3156)typical outcome D3 (89%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 200 Breast SCY, 100 Breast SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ethan

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (608 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 576 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
100 Fly SCY53.8352.17−1.66s
200 Fly SCY2:06.972:02.49−4.48s
100 Free SCY52.3948.22−4.17s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 129 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Match

Your Team Fit

457

Recruit median

450

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Carthage College

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

509

Recruit median

420

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Franklin & Marshall College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

682

Recruit median

550

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Wheaton College (IL)

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

595

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Transylvania University

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

570

Recruit median

400

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.