Swimmer profile

Patrick Chen

Male15-16Rose Bowl AquaticsSO · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 15
Current (today)
825
D1 Mid-Major

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1500 Free SCY4:31.56858
  • #2200 Free SCY1:40.53816
  • #3200 Fly SCY1:52.42787
  • #4100 Free SCY46.31776
Projected (age 17)
1106
Blue Chip

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1200 Fly SCYCONF1:39.221145
  • #2100 Free SCY41.301094
  • #3500 Free SCY4:12.701065
  • #4200 Free SCY1:32.611043
College Ceiling (age 21)
1167range 8251167
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Fly SCYCONF43.801167
  • #2100 Free SCYCONF40.421167
  • #3200 Free SCYCONF1:29.231167
  • #4200 IM SCYCONF1:38.921167
Coach viewPIe ≈ 15(1218)typical outcome D3 (70%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Fly SCY, 200 IM SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Patrick

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D1 Mid-Major.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (1106 → Blue Chip) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D1 Power 4

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 825 to 950, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
500 Free SCY4:31.564:04.36−27.20s
200 Free SCY1:40.531:30.04−10.49s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 133 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Nova Southeastern University

MenSSCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1254

Recruit median

1150

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Drury University

MenGLVCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1254

Recruit median

1160

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

University of Missouri

MenSECD1

Match

Your Team Fit

1105

Recruit median

1050

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

University of Notre Dame

MenACCD1

Match

Your Team Fit

1105

Recruit median

1030

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

University of Alabama

MenSECD1

Match

Your Team Fit

1105

Recruit median

1090

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.