Swimmer profile

Arris Tokay

Male15-16Team Rebel AquaticsSCS · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 16
Current (today)
717
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1500 Free SCY4:48.08719
  • #2200 Breast SCY2:08.40718
  • #3400 IM SCY4:12.82716
  • #4100 Breast SCY59.30697
Projected (age 17)
779
D1 Mid-Major

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1500 Free SCY4:39.34789
  • #2100 Breast SCY57.18778
  • #3400 IM SCY4:07.04768
  • #4200 Breast SCY2:05.78763
College Ceiling (age 21)
872range 7171128
D1 Mid-MajorBlue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Breast SCY54.75886
  • #2500 Free SCY4:29.20881
  • #3400 IM SCY4:00.29834
  • #4200 Breast SCY2:02.70822
Coach viewPIe ≈ 26(2230)typical outcome D3 (76%)

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Arris

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D2/D3 Realistic.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (779 → D1 Mid-Major) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 717 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
500 Free SCY4:48.084:37.48−10.60s
200 Breast SCY2:08.402:03.66−4.74s
400 IM SCY4:12.823:52.16−20.66s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 133 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Cal State East Bay

MenCCAAD2

Match

Your Team Fit

875

Recruit median

800

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Harding University

MenGACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

875

Recruit median

800

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Michigan Technological University

MenGLIACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

875

Recruit median

840

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Maryville University

MenGLVCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

875

Recruit median

810

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Missouri University of Science and Tech

MenGLVCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

875

Recruit median

870

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.