Swimmer profile

Shumei Umemoto

Male17-18Vision SwimSCS · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 18
Current (today)
538
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1200 Free SCY1:54.90546
  • #2100 Free SCY52.43535
  • #31650 Free SCY18:38.45533
  • #450 Free SCY24.07526
Projected
538
Building Base

You're at or past recruiting peak. SR Projected here equals SR Current — no forward projection is applied past age 17.

  • #1200 Free SCY1:54.90546
  • #2100 Free SCY52.43535
  • #31650 Free SCY18:38.45533
  • #450 Free SCY24.07526
College Ceiling (age 21)
544range 538646
Building BaseD2/D3 Realistic

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 Free SCY1:54.43553
  • #2100 Free SCY52.26540
  • #350 Free SCY23.95534
  • #41650 Free SCY18:38.45533
Coach viewPIe ≈ 61(4069)typical outcome D3 (93%)

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Shumei

Building Base recruit, D2/D3 Realistic ceiling.

Recruiting window is active. Your optimistic ceiling projects to D2/D3 Realistic territory through college junior year. The modest gap between Current and Ceiling reflects college-years upside coaches should weigh in their evaluation — particularly if biological maturation is still ongoing.

Maturity context: The Building Base → D2/D3 Realistic ceiling-range transition is the late-developer story: data signal alone doesn't flag it, but the spread between conservative and optimistic ceilings suggests biological development may not yet be complete. (We're working on a parent-input layer to refine this — see methodology §4.7.)

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 538 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
200 Free SCY1:54.901:45.56−9.34s
100 Free SCY52.4348.09−4.34s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 123 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Match

Your Team Fit

462

Recruit median

450

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Drew University

MenLandmarkD3

Match

Your Team Fit

421

Recruit median

390

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Franklin & Marshall College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

628

Recruit median

550

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Alfred University

MenEmpire 8D3

Safety

Your Team Fit

493

Recruit median

390

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Hartwick College

MenEmpire 8D3

Safety

Your Team Fit

479

Recruit median

370

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.