Swimmer profile

Ethan Shaub

Male15-16Billings Aquatic ClubMT · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
490
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #150 Free SCY24.23516
  • #2100 Fly SCY58.92479
  • #3100 Back SCY59.34475
  • #4200 Back SCY2:15.23431
Projected (age 17)
592
Building Base

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #150 Free SCY22.87613
  • #2100 Back SCY54.77604
  • #3100 Fly SCY56.18553
  • #4200 Back SCY2:09.75488
College Ceiling (age 21)
1017range 4901114
D1 Power 4Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Back SCYCONF43.981166
  • #250 Free SCY19.45997
  • #3100 Fly SCY49.18824
  • #4200 Back SCY1:55.58690
Coach viewPIe ≈ 74(5283)typical outcome D3 (80%)

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ethan

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (592 → Building Base) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 490 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
50 Free SCY24.2320.95−3.28s
100 Fly SCY58.9250.49−8.43s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 121 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Match

Your Team Fit

489

Recruit median

450

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Millikin University

MenCCIWD3

Match

Your Team Fit

395

Recruit median

390

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Fairleigh Dickinson-Florham

MenMACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

456

Recruit median

380

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Swarthmore College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

630

Recruit median

530

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Hartwick College

MenEmpire 8D3

Safety

Your Team Fit

502

Recruit median

370

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.