Swimmer profile

Hiro Chance

Male15-16North Bay AquaticsPC · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 15
Current (today)
689
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #150 Free SCY21.59729
  • #2100 Free SCY48.47677
  • #3100 Fly SCY53.10655
  • #4200 Free SCY1:51.50598
Projected (age 17)
973
D1 Power 4

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #150 Free SCY18.851095
  • #2100 Fly SCY46.97946
  • #3100 Free SCY45.01845
  • #4200 Free SCY1:46.25691
College Ceiling (age 21)
1163range 6891165
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Fly SCYCONF43.801167
  • #250 Free SCYCONF18.461166
  • #3100 Free SCYCONF40.571154
  • #4100 Back SCYCONF44.201149
Coach viewPIe ≈ 33(2838)typical outcome D3 (86%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Back SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Hiro

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D2/D3 Realistic.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (973 → D1 Power 4) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 689 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
50 Free SCY21.5920.23−1.36s
100 Free SCY48.4745.21−3.26s
100 Fly SCY53.1045.55−7.55s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 133 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Lynn University

MenSSCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1072

Recruit median

980

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Wingate University

MenSACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

999

Recruit median

980

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

University of Iowa

MenBig TenD1

Match

Your Team Fit

973

Recruit median

970

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Rutgers University

MenBig TenD1

Match

Your Team Fit

973

Recruit median

910

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

University of Cincinnati

MenBig 12D1

Match

Your Team Fit

947

Recruit median

910

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.