Swimmer profile
Brent Welch IV
Male17-18Lake Oswego Swim ClubOR · WESTERN
SR Rating
NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 seasonBased on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.
- #11650 Free SCY17:04.20694
- #2500 Free SCY4:51.76692
- #3200 Free SCY1:47.49667
- #4400 IM SCY4:25.46619
You're at or past recruiting peak. SR Projected here equals SR Current — no forward projection is applied past age 17.
- #11650 Free SCY17:04.20694
- #2500 Free SCY4:51.76692
- #3200 Free SCY1:47.49667
- #4400 IM SCY4:25.46619
College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.
- #1500 Free SCY4:50.81699
- #21650 Free SCY17:03.02696
- #3200 Free SCY1:46.99677
- #4400 IM SCY4:23.87630
Refine your College CeilingTesting
Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.
What this means for Brent
D2/D3 Realistic recruit, D1 Mid-Major ceiling.
Recruiting window is active. Your optimistic ceiling projects to D1 Mid-Major territory through college junior year. The modest gap between Current and Ceiling reflects college-years upside coaches should weigh in their evaluation — particularly if biological maturation is still ongoing.
Maturity context: The D2/D3 Realistic → D1 Mid-Major ceiling-range transition is the late-developer story: data signal alone doesn't flag it, but the spread between conservative and optimistic ceilings suggests biological development may not yet be complete. (We're working on a parent-input layer to refine this — see methodology §4.7.)
What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major
Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 684 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.
| Event | Current | Target | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1650 Free SCY | 17:04.20 | 15:52.57 | −71.63s |
| 500 Free SCY | 4:51.76 | 4:31.31 | −20.45s |
| 200 Free SCY | 1:47.49 | 1:31.61 | −15.88s |
Best school matches
Top 5 of 130 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.
Hartwick College
Men • Empire 8 • D3
Your Team Fit
395
Recruit median
370
In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.
Carthage College
Men • CCIW • D3
Your Team Fit
518
Recruit median
420
Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.
University of Scranton
Men • Landmark • D3
Your Team Fit
564
Recruit median
450
Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.
Dickinson College
Men • Centennial • D3
Your Team Fit
610
Recruit median
490
Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.
Transylvania University
Men • HCAC • D3
Your Team Fit
574
Recruit median
400
Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.
Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?
Custom college fit
Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.
682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.