Swimmer profile

Matthew McGinnis

Male17-18Valley AquaticsPNW · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 17
Current (today)
678
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #11650 Free SCY17:05.05692
  • #2200 Free SCY1:46.48686
  • #3500 Free SCY4:59.29641
  • #4100 Free SCY49.47636
Projected
678
D2/D3 Realistic

You're at or past recruiting peak. SR Projected here equals SR Current — no forward projection is applied past age 17.

  • #11650 Free SCY17:05.05692
  • #2200 Free SCY1:46.48686
  • #3500 Free SCY4:59.29641
  • #4100 Free SCY49.47636
College Ceiling (age 21)
1162range 6781166
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Free SCYCONF40.421167
  • #2200 Free SCYCONF1:29.231167
  • #350 Free SCYCONF18.461166
  • #4200 Back SCY1:39.001098
Coach viewPIe ≈ 33(2838)typical outcome D3 (86%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 50 Free SCY, 200 Back SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Matthew

D2/D3 Realistic recruit, peak window.

This is the recruiting window. Coaches are evaluating times within ~6 months of where you sit today. The College Ceiling range (678–1166) shows the projected upside through college junior year — useful for "where will I be when it counts most" conversations.

Maturity context: Your late-developer trajectory matters here — make sure coaches understand you're still on the upslope. Bring growth-rate and recent improvement data to recruiting visits.

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 678 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
1650 Free SCY17:05.0515:47.61−77.44s
200 Free SCY1:46.481:38.38−8.10s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 130 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Carthage College

MenCCIWD3

Match

Your Team Fit

443

Recruit median

420

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Hartwick College

MenEmpire 8D3

Safety

Your Team Fit

445

Recruit median

370

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Anderson University (IN)

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

454

Recruit median

370

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Dickinson College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

586

Recruit median

490

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Transylvania University

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

560

Recruit median

400

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.