Swimmer profile

Roman Carmichael

Male17-18Bay Club AquaticsSI · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 17
Current (today)
447
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #150 Free SCY24.95472
  • #2100 Free SCY55.53450
  • #3200 Free SCY2:07.34401
  • #4500 Free SCY5:52.70392
Projected
447
Building Base

You're at or past recruiting peak. SR Projected here equals SR Current — no forward projection is applied past age 17.

  • #150 Free SCY24.95472
  • #2100 Free SCY55.53450
  • #3200 Free SCY2:07.34401
  • #4500 Free SCY5:52.70392
College Ceiling (age 21)
698range 447908
D2/D3 RealisticD1 Mid-Major

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Fly SCY51.29727
  • #2200 IM SCY1:57.41698
  • #350 Free SCY22.21670
  • #4100 Breast SCY1:02.43597
Coach viewPIe ≈ 90(68100)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Fly SCY, 200 IM SCY, 100 Breast SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Roman

Building Base recruit, peak window.

This is the recruiting window. Coaches are evaluating times within ~6 months of where you sit today. The College Ceiling range (447–908) shows the projected upside through college junior year — useful for "where will I be when it counts most" conversations.

Maturity context: Your late-developer trajectory matters here — make sure coaches understand you're still on the upslope. Bring growth-rate and recent improvement data to recruiting visits.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 447 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

No single-event drop within reachable bounds gets 447 all the way to 600. The gap from Building Base to D2/D3 Realistic closes through broad improvement — multiple events moving together. That’s exactly what college coaches want to see; specialists rarely make this jump on one event alone.

Best school matches

Top 5 of 118 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Swarthmore College

MenCentennialD3

Match

Your Team Fit

541

Recruit median

530

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Washington College

MenCentennialD3

Match

Your Team Fit

468

Recruit median

430

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Luther College

MenARCD3

Match

Your Team Fit

447

Recruit median

420

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Millikin University

MenCCIWD3

Match

Your Team Fit

417

Recruit median

390

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Messiah University

MenMACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

509

Recruit median

460

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.