Swimmer profile

Ellie Carnley

Female11-12Southern Utah Swimming AssociationUT · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 12
Current (today)
350
Early Career

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1200 Back SCY2:41.04362
  • #2100 Back SCY1:15.01346
  • #3100 Free SCY1:09.65340
  • #4200 Free SCY2:34.60318
Projected (age 17)
982
D1 Power 4

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Back SCY52.511008
  • #2100 Free SCY48.76990
  • #3200 Free SCY1:48.22927
  • #450 Free SCY23.02907
College Ceiling (age 21)
982range 350982
D1 Power 4

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Back SCY52.511008
  • #2100 Free SCY48.76990
  • #3200 Free SCY1:48.22927
  • #450 Free SCY23.02907
Coach viewPIe ≈ 131(112146)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 50 Free SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ellie

Foundation years. Focus on broad event development.

Your swimmer's Current rating is 350 (Early Career). College coaches don't look at age-12 times — they look at junior-year times. Track the Projected number; that's what coaches will see when they evaluate in 2-3 years.

What time drops unlock Building Base

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 350 to 400, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
200 Back SCY2:41.042:25.47−15.57s
100 Back SCY1:15.011:07.48−7.53s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 161 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Gettysburg College

WomenCentennialD3

Match

Your Team Fit

589

Recruit median

550

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Augustana College (IL)

WomenCCIWD3

Match

Your Team Fit

452

Recruit median

420

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Dickinson College

WomenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

589

Recruit median

500

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Union College (NY)

WomenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

589

Recruit median

490

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Skidmore College

WomenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

589

Recruit median

470

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.