Swimmer profile

Ethan Xue

Male15-16Santa Clara Swim ClubPC · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 16
Current (today)
817
D1 Mid-Major

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1400 IM SCY3:58.38854
  • #2200 IM SCY1:51.95805
  • #3500 Free SCY4:41.35772
  • #4200 Fly SCY1:53.21771
Projected (age 17)
873
D1 Mid-Major

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1400 IM SCY3:53.49909
  • #2200 Fly SCY1:49.07862
  • #3200 IM SCY1:50.59835
  • #4100 Fly SCY49.24821
College Ceiling (age 21)
966range 8171154
D1 Power 4Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 Fly SCY1:44.31985
  • #2400 IM SCY3:47.75980
  • #3100 Fly SCY47.42919
  • #4200 IM SCY1:48.99872
Coach viewPIe ≈ 15(1218)typical outcome D3 (70%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Fly SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ethan

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D1 Mid-Major.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (873 → D1 Mid-Major) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

What time drops unlock D1 Power 4

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 817 to 950, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
400 IM SCY3:58.383:33.09−25.29s
200 IM SCY1:51.951:39.49−12.46s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 133 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Grand Valley State University

MenGLIACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

988

Recruit median

970

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Truman State University

MenGLVCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

988

Recruit median

910

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Saint Leo University

MenSSCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

988

Recruit median

900

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Minnesota State University, Mankato

MenNSICD2

Match

Your Team Fit

988

Recruit median

920

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

East Stroudsburg University

MenPSACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

988

Recruit median

920

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.