Swimmer profile

Ethan Zhao

Male15-16Tualatin Hills Swim ClubOR · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 15
Current (today)
481
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1100 Breast SCY1:05.66514
  • #2200 Breast SCY2:26.62482
  • #3200 IM SCY2:18.83422
  • #450 Free SCY25.96419
Projected (age 17)
775
D1 Mid-Major

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Breast SCY55.95830
  • #2200 Breast SCY2:04.94779
  • #350 Free SCY22.12678
  • #4200 IM SCY2:00.32648
College Ceiling (age 21)
1166range 4811166
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 IM SCYCONF1:38.921167
  • #2200 Breast SCYCONF1:49.201166
  • #3100 Breast SCYCONF49.951166
  • #450 Free SCYCONF18.461166
Coach viewPIe ≈ 74(5283)typical outcome D3 (80%)

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ethan

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (775 → D1 Mid-Major) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 481 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
100 Breast SCY1:05.6656.20−9.46s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 129 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Skidmore College

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

525

Recruit median

460

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

565

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Augustana College (IL)

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

565

Recruit median

410

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Franklin & Marshall College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

720

Recruit median

550

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

596

Recruit median

420

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.