Swimmer profile

Rhys Blair

Male15-16Tucson Ford Dealers AquaticsAZ · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
523
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1200 Free SCY1:56.05530
  • #2100 Free SCY52.68527
  • #350 Free SCY24.29512
  • #4200 IM SCY2:13.21478
Projected (age 17)
596
Building Base

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Free SCY49.84622
  • #2200 Free SCY1:51.69595
  • #3100 Back SCY56.43552
  • #450 Free SCY23.80544
College Ceiling (age 21)
919range 5231111
D1 Mid-MajorBlue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Free SCY42.68991
  • #2100 Breast SCY54.48899
  • #3100 Back SCY49.32827
  • #4200 Free SCY1:40.35820
Coach viewPIe ≈ 61(4069)typical outcome D3 (93%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Breast SCY, 100 Back SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Rhys

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (596 → Building Base) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 523 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
200 Free SCY1:56.051:44.41−11.64s
100 Free SCY52.6847.37−5.31s

School matches

School matches activate once your SR Rating is published. The curated set spans NCAA D1 P5 programs in this pilot, with the school list growing as we expand coverage.