Swimmer profile

Ella Thomas

Female15-16Northern KY Clippers SwimmingKY · SOUTHERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
819
D1 Mid-Major

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #11650 Free SCY17:17.91856
  • #2500 Free SCY5:04.57808
  • #3200 Free SCY1:54.83776
  • #4400 IM SCY4:36.01772
Projected (age 17)
921
D1 Mid-Major

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1200 Free SCY1:46.00987
  • #2100 Breast SCY1:02.90881
  • #3500 Free SCY4:56.69874
  • #41650 Free SCY17:11.32872
College Ceiling (age 21)
1167range 8191167
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Fly SCYCONF49.891167
  • #2200 Free SCYCONF1:40.251167
  • #3100 Free SCYCONF46.171166
  • #4200 IM SCYCONF1:51.991166
Coach viewPIe ≈ 15(1217)typical outcome D3 (49%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Fly SCY, 100 Free SCY, 200 IM SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ella

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D1 Mid-Major.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (921 → D1 Mid-Major) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D1 Power 4

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 819 to 950, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
1650 Free SCY17:17.9115:29.65−108.26s
500 Free SCY5:04.574:31.32−33.25s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 169 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Concordia University Irvine

WomenPacWestD2

Match

Your Team Fit

923

Recruit median

860

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Michigan Technological University

WomenGLIACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

923

Recruit median

850

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Northern Michigan University

WomenGLIACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

923

Recruit median

890

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

McKendree University

WomenGLVCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

923

Recruit median

920

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Missouri University of Science and Tech

WomenGLVCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

923

Recruit median

880

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.