Swimmer profile

Alex Dukes

Male15-16Razorback Aquatic Club AquahawgsAR · CENTRAL

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 15
Current (today)
480
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1100 Free SCY54.01489
  • #21650 Free SCY19:16.29482
  • #3500 Free SCY5:34.28460
  • #4200 Free SCY2:02.06456
Projected (age 17)
642
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1400 IM SCY4:16.70684
  • #2100 Free SCY49.15649
  • #3200 IM SCY2:06.65556
  • #450 Free SCY23.71550
College Ceiling (age 21)
1022range 4801134
D1 Power 4Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1400 IM SCYCONF3:34.881166
  • #2100 Free SCY43.07964
  • #3100 Back SCY48.18887
  • #4200 IM SCY1:51.06824
Coach viewPIe ≈ 74(5283)typical outcome D3 (80%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 400 IM SCY, 100 Back SCY, 200 IM SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Alex

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (642 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 480 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

No single-event drop within reachable bounds gets 480 all the way to 600. The gap from Building Base to D2/D3 Realistic closes through broad improvement — multiple events moving together. That’s exactly what college coaches want to see; specialists rarely make this jump on one event alone.

Best school matches

Top 5 of 130 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Anderson University (IN)

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

418

Recruit median

370

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Dickinson College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

554

Recruit median

490

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Skidmore College

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

584

Recruit median

460

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

601

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Widener University

MenMACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

601

Recruit median

410

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.