Swimmer profile

Stephen Nagel

Male15-16Central Bucks Region YMA · EASTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 15
Current (today)
573
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #150 Free SCY22.93608
  • #2100 Free SCY50.65593
  • #3500 Free SCY5:30.63476
  • #4200 Free SCY2:01.19466
Projected (age 17)
890
D1 Mid-Major

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Free SCY43.16958
  • #250 Free SCY19.84939
  • #3200 Free SCY1:46.38688
  • #4100 Breast SCY1:00.12669
College Ceiling (age 21)
1166range 5731167
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Free SCYCONF40.421167
  • #2200 Free SCYCONF1:29.231167
  • #3100 Breast SCYCONF49.951166
  • #450 Free SCYCONF18.461166
Coach viewPIe ≈ 50(3156)typical outcome D3 (89%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Breast SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Stephen

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (890 → D1 Mid-Major) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 573 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
50 Free SCY22.9322.11−0.82s
100 Free SCY50.6548.79−1.86s
500 Free SCY5:30.634:58.34−32.29s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 133 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Ouachita Baptist University

MenGACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

800

Recruit median

780

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Johns Hopkins University

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

850

Recruit median

710

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Franklin & Marshall College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

850

Recruit median

550

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Gettysburg College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

850

Recruit median

540

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Swarthmore College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

850

Recruit median

530

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.