Swimmer profile

Grayson Ellis

Male15-16Bartlesville Splash ClubOK · CENTRAL

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
693
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #11650 Free SCY16:46.86730
  • #2500 Free SCY4:52.57686
  • #3200 Free SCY1:48.59647
  • #4100 Free SCY50.11612
Projected (age 17)
852
D1 Mid-Major

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #11650 Free SCY15:29.44928
  • #2500 Free SCY4:36.30815
  • #3200 Free SCY1:41.28798
  • #4100 Free SCY46.96744
College Ceiling (age 21)
1166range 6931166
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Free SCYCONF40.421167
  • #2200 Free SCYCONF1:29.231167
  • #31650 Free SCYCONF14:21.271166
  • #4500 Free SCYCONF4:05.171166
Coach viewPIe ≈ 33(2838)typical outcome D3 (86%)

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Grayson

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D2/D3 Realistic.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (852 → D1 Mid-Major) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 693 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
1650 Free SCY16:46.8615:47.12−59.74s
500 Free SCY4:52.574:34.24−18.33s
200 Free SCY1:48.591:33.76−14.83s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 132 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Cal State East Bay

MenCCAAD2

Match

Your Team Fit

802

Recruit median

800

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Harding University

MenGACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

802

Recruit median

800

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

William Jewell College

MenGLVCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

802

Recruit median

800

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Saint Anselm College

MenNE-10D2

Match

Your Team Fit

802

Recruit median

800

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Wheaton College (IL)

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

564

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.