Swimmer profile

Adam Dernaika

Male15-16King Marlin Swim ClubOK · CENTRAL

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
570
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1500 Free SCY5:06.39598
  • #2200 IM SCY2:06.02564
  • #350 Free SCY23.92536
  • #4400 IM SCY4:41.29520
Projected (age 17)
640
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1500 Free SCY4:54.00676
  • #2400 IM SCY4:24.87623
  • #3200 IM SCY2:02.42615
  • #450 Free SCY23.18589
College Ceiling (age 21)
961range 5701106
D1 Power 4Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1400 IM SCY3:43.821032
  • #2500 Free SCY4:21.93956
  • #3100 Breast SCY55.19865
  • #4200 IM SCY1:52.90785
Coach viewPIe ≈ 50(3156)typical outcome D3 (89%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Breast SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Adam

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (640 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 570 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
500 Free SCY5:06.394:54.28−12.11s
200 IM SCY2:06.022:00.77−5.25s
50 Free SCY23.9221.65−2.27s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 131 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Cal State East Bay

MenCCAAD2

Match

Your Team Fit

801

Recruit median

800

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Harding University

MenGACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

801

Recruit median

800

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

William Jewell College

MenGLVCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

801

Recruit median

800

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Saint Anselm College

MenNE-10D2

Match

Your Team Fit

801

Recruit median

800

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

514

Recruit median

420

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.