Swimmer profile

Adriel Mata

Male15-16Desert Shark Swim ClubBO · SOUTHERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
445
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #150 Free SCY24.98471
  • #2100 Free SCY55.51450
  • #3200 Free SCY2:08.51391
  • #4100 Fly SCY1:03.40385
Projected (age 17)
531
Building Base

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Free SCY51.95550
  • #250 Free SCY23.83542
  • #3200 Free SCY1:59.03491
  • #4200 IM SCY2:16.00449
College Ceiling (age 21)
927range 4451123
D1 Mid-MajorBlue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Free SCY43.17958
  • #2200 Free SCY1:36.06935
  • #3200 IM SCY1:48.70879
  • #450 Free SCY20.90804
Coach viewPIe ≈ 90(68100)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 200 IM SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Adriel

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (531 → Building Base) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 445 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

No single-event drop within reachable bounds gets 445 all the way to 600. The gap from Building Base to D2/D3 Realistic closes through broad improvement — multiple events moving together. That’s exactly what college coaches want to see; specialists rarely make this jump on one event alone.

Best school matches

Top 5 of 115 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Swarthmore College

MenCentennialD3

Match

Your Team Fit

571

Recruit median

530

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Luther College

MenARCD3

Match

Your Team Fit

458

Recruit median

420

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Millikin University

MenCCIWD3

Match

Your Team Fit

411

Recruit median

390

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Fairleigh Dickinson-Florham

MenMACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

436

Recruit median

380

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Washington College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

495

Recruit median

430

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.