Swimmer profile

Ryder Nelson

Male15-16Highbridge AquaticsKY · SOUTHERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
573
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1500 Free SCY5:08.51585
  • #250 Free SCY23.44570
  • #3100 Free SCY51.64559
  • #4100 Breast SCY1:04.18550
Projected (age 17)
696
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Breast SCY59.24699
  • #250 Free SCY21.91697
  • #3500 Free SCY4:51.68693
  • #4100 Free SCY48.42679
College Ceiling (age 21)
1166range 5731167
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 Breast SCYCONF1:49.201166
  • #2100 Breast SCYCONF49.951166
  • #350 Free SCYCONF18.461166
  • #4100 Free SCYCONF40.431166
Coach viewPIe ≈ 50(3156)typical outcome D3 (89%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 200 Breast SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ryder

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (696 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 573 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
500 Free SCY5:08.514:57.19−11.32s
50 Free SCY23.4422.56−0.88s
100 Free SCY51.6447.28−4.36s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 127 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Carthage College

MenCCIWD3

Match

Your Team Fit

457

Recruit median

420

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Anderson University (IN)

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

416

Recruit median

370

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Wheaton College (IL)

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

528

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

568

Recruit median

470

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Franklin & Marshall College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

659

Recruit median

550

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.