Swimmer profile

Matthew Roach

Male15-16Bulldog Aquatic ClubLA · SOUTHERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 16
Current (today)
557
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1100 Free SCY50.97582
  • #250 Free SCY23.54562
  • #3100 Fly SCY57.67511
  • #4200 Free SCY1:59.04491
Projected (age 17)
583
Building Base

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Free SCY50.26607
  • #250 Free SCY23.16591
  • #3100 Fly SCY56.96531
  • #4200 Free SCY1:56.28527
College Ceiling (age 21)
611range 557690
D2/D3 Realistic

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Free SCY49.42638
  • #250 Free SCY22.72626
  • #3100 Fly SCY56.12555
  • #4100 Back SCY58.60493
Coach viewPIe ≈ 50(3156)typical outcome D3 (89%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Back SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Matthew

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (583 → Building Base) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 557 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
100 Free SCY50.9748.13−2.84s
50 Free SCY23.5422.19−1.35s
100 Fly SCY57.6750.16−7.51s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 124 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Carthage College

MenCCIWD3

Match

Your Team Fit

439

Recruit median

420

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

515

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Augustana College (IL)

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

490

Recruit median

410

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Transylvania University

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

558

Recruit median

400

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Alfred University

MenEmpire 8D3

Safety

Your Team Fit

563

Recruit median

390

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.