Swimmer profile

Joshua Smith

Male17-18Arkansas Dolphins Swim TeamAR · CENTRAL

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 18
Current (today)
947
D1 Mid-Major

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1200 Back SCY1:43.17970
  • #2200 IM SCY1:46.17944
  • #3100 Back SCY47.50926
  • #4100 Breast SCY54.99874
Projected
947
D1 Mid-Major

You're at or past recruiting peak. SR Projected here equals SR Current — no forward projection is applied past age 17.

  • #1200 Back SCY1:43.17970
  • #2200 IM SCY1:46.17944
  • #3100 Back SCY47.50926
  • #4100 Breast SCY54.99874
College Ceiling (age 21)
1164range 9471167
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 Back SCYCONF1:37.031167
  • #2100 Back SCYCONF43.981166
  • #3200 IM SCYCONF1:39.101160
  • #4100 Free SCYCONF40.601151
Coach viewPIe ≈ 6(49)typical outcome D1 (86%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Free SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Joshua

Borderline D1 Power 4 recruit — Blue Chip ceiling.

Recruiting window is active. Your Current (947) is just 3 points below the D1 Power 4 threshold — effectively a D1 Power 4 caliber recruit for evaluation purposes. Your optimistic ceiling projects to Blue Chip territory through college junior year. The meaningful gap between Current and Ceiling reflects college-years upside coaches should weigh in their evaluation — particularly if biological maturation is still ongoing.

Maturity context: Data flags continued improvement well past age 15 — bring this trajectory to recruiting visits as part of the evaluation story.

What time drops unlock D1 Power 4

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 947 to 950, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
200 Back SCY1:43.171:42.89−0.28s
200 IM SCY1:46.171:45.88−0.29s
100 Back SCY47.5047.18−0.32s
100 Breast SCY54.9953.95−1.04s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 133 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

University of Findlay

MenGMACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1069

Recruit median

1000

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Lynn University

MenSSCD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1069

Recruit median

980

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

West Chester University

MenPSACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1069

Recruit median

1000

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Wingate University

MenSACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

1069

Recruit median

980

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Rutgers University

MenBig TenD1

Match

Your Team Fit

947

Recruit median

910

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.