Swimmer profile

Ethan Johnston

Male17-18Fargo-Moorhead YMCA Swim TeamND · CENTRAL

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 17
Current (today)
583
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #150 Free SCY22.86614
  • #2100 Back SCY55.70574
  • #3100 Free SCY51.42567
  • #4200 Free SCY1:59.34488
Projected
583
Building Base

You're at or past recruiting peak. SR Projected here equals SR Current — no forward projection is applied past age 17.

  • #150 Free SCY22.86614
  • #2100 Back SCY55.70574
  • #3100 Free SCY51.42567
  • #4200 Free SCY1:59.34488
College Ceiling (age 21)
1088range 5831142
D1 Power 4Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #150 Free SCYCONF18.641133
  • #2100 Free SCYCONF41.101110
  • #3100 Back SCY44.991089
  • #4200 Free SCY1:47.89660
Coach viewPIe ≈ 50(3156)typical outcome D3 (89%)

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ethan

Building Base recruit, peak window.

This is the recruiting window. Coaches are evaluating times within ~6 months of where you sit today. The College Ceiling range (583–1142) shows the projected upside through college junior year — useful for "where will I be when it counts most" conversations.

Maturity context: Your late-developer trajectory matters here — make sure coaches understand you're still on the upslope. Bring growth-rate and recent improvement data to recruiting visits.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 583 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
50 Free SCY22.8622.35−0.51s
100 Back SCY55.7054.38−1.32s
100 Free SCY51.4248.59−2.83s
200 Free SCY1:59.341:42.62−16.72s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 125 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Carthage College

MenCCIWD3

Match

Your Team Fit

439

Recruit median

420

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Widener University

MenMACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

466

Recruit median

410

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

514

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Drew University

MenLandmarkD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

496

Recruit median

390

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Alfred University

MenEmpire 8D3

Safety

Your Team Fit

514

Recruit median

390

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.