Swimmer profile

Alex Nelson

Male17-18TAC TitansNC · SOUTHERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 18
Current (today)
837
D1 Mid-Major

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #150 Free SCY20.49853
  • #2100 Fly SCY48.75846
  • #3100 Free SCY45.07842
  • #4500 Free SCY4:56.77658
Projected
837
D1 Mid-Major

You're at or past recruiting peak. SR Projected here equals SR Current — no forward projection is applied past age 17.

  • #150 Free SCY20.49853
  • #2100 Fly SCY48.75846
  • #3100 Free SCY45.07842
  • #4500 Free SCY4:56.77658
College Ceiling (age 21)
860range 8371140
D1 Mid-MajorBlue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #150 Free SCY20.30877
  • #2100 Fly SCY48.28871
  • #3100 Free SCY44.66865
  • #4500 Free SCY4:56.77658
Coach viewPIe ≈ 15(1218)typical outcome D3 (70%)

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Alex

D1 Mid-Major recruit, Blue Chip ceiling.

Recruiting window is active. Your optimistic ceiling projects to Blue Chip territory through college junior year. The meaningful gap between Current and Ceiling reflects college-years upside coaches should weigh in their evaluation — particularly if biological maturation is still ongoing.

Maturity context: The D1 Mid-Major → Blue Chip ceiling-range transition is the late-developer story: data signal alone doesn't flag it, but the spread between conservative and optimistic ceilings suggests biological development may not yet be complete. (We're working on a parent-input layer to refine this — see methodology §4.7.)

What time drops unlock D1 Power 4

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 837 to 950, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
50 Free SCY20.4918.58−1.91s
100 Fly SCY48.7544.18−4.57s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 133 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Minnesota State University, Mankato

MenNSICD2

Match

Your Team Fit

948

Recruit median

920

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

St. Cloud State University

MenNSICD2

Match

Your Team Fit

948

Recruit median

890

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Bloomsburg University

MenPSACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

948

Recruit median

890

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

East Stroudsburg University

MenPSACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

948

Recruit median

920

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Shippensburg University

MenPSACD2

Match

Your Team Fit

948

Recruit median

870

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.