Swimmer profile

Ernest Winling

Male15-16Cavalier Aquatics/Piedmont Family YMCAVA · EASTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 15
Current (today)
648
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1100 Free SCY48.98656
  • #250 Free SCY22.37655
  • #3200 Free SCY1:49.83626
  • #4200 Back SCY2:00.28612
Projected (age 17)
960
D1 Power 4

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Free SCY42.70990
  • #2200 Back SCY1:43.47962
  • #3100 Back SCY47.81908
  • #450 Free SCY20.21889
College Ceiling (age 21)
1166range 6481167
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Free SCYCONF40.421167
  • #2200 Back SCYCONF1:37.031167
  • #350 Free SCYCONF18.461166
  • #4100 Back SCYCONF43.981166
Coach viewPIe ≈ 41(2446)typical outcome D3 (89%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Back SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ernest

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D2/D3 Realistic.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (960 → D1 Power 4) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 648 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
100 Free SCY48.9843.80−5.18s
50 Free SCY22.3720.00−2.37s

School matches

School matches activate once your SR Rating is published. The curated set spans NCAA D1 P5 programs in this pilot, with the school list growing as we expand coverage.