Swimmer profile

Natalie Tharp

Female15-16Austin Swim ClubST · SOUTHERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
773
D1 Mid-Major

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1500 Free SCY5:06.03797
  • #21650 Free SCY17:51.36778
  • #3200 Free SCY1:56.86736
  • #450 Free SCY25.29684
Projected (age 17)
784
D1 Mid-Major

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1500 Free SCY5:05.40802
  • #21650 Free SCY17:44.56793
  • #3200 Fly SCY2:09.50740
  • #4200 Free SCY1:56.86736
College Ceiling (age 21)
943range 773964
D1 Mid-MajorD1 Power 4

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 Fly SCYCONF1:51.251167
  • #2500 Free SCY5:03.67815
  • #31650 Free SCY17:51.36778
  • #4100 Fly SCY57.59759
Coach viewPIe ≈ 20(1723)typical outcome D3 (61%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 200 Fly SCY, 100 Fly SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Natalie

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D1 Mid-Major.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (784 → D1 Mid-Major) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D1 Power 4

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 773 to 950, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
500 Free SCY5:06.034:23.31−42.72s
1650 Free SCY17:51.3615:19.11−152.25s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 166 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology

WomenHCACD3

Match

Your Team Fit

451

Recruit median

430

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Carthage College

WomenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

560

Recruit median

430

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

WomenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

614

Recruit median

480

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Franklin & Marshall College

WomenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

777

Recruit median

560

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Swarthmore College

WomenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

777

Recruit median

540

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.