Swimmer profile

Cael Howerton

Male15-16Elmwood SharksLA · SOUTHERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
484
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1200 Free SCY1:59.01492
  • #2100 Free SCY54.37479
  • #3500 Free SCY5:29.89479
  • #41650 Free SCY19:22.59474
Projected (age 17)
608
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1200 Free SCY1:49.86625
  • #2500 Free SCY5:04.52609
  • #3100 Fly SCY55.17584
  • #4200 IM SCY2:06.51558
College Ceiling (age 21)
1158range 4841167
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 Free SCYCONF1:29.231167
  • #2500 Free SCYCONF4:05.171166
  • #3100 Fly SCYCONF44.101143
  • #4200 Fly SCY1:40.931087
Coach viewPIe ≈ 74(5283)typical outcome D3 (80%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Fly SCY, 200 Fly SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Cael

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (608 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 484 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
200 Free SCY1:59.011:41.62−17.39s
100 Free SCY54.3746.27−8.10s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 121 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Union College (NY)

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Match

Your Team Fit

497

Recruit median

480

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Vassar College

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

497

Recruit median

440

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Luther College

MenARCD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

497

Recruit median

420

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Franklin & Marshall College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

632

Recruit median

550

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Skidmore College

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

543

Recruit median

460

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.