Swimmer profile

Caleb Lucas

Male15-16Huntsville Swim AssociationSE · SOUTHERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
644
D2/D3 Realistic

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #11650 Free SCY17:22.28658
  • #2500 Free SCY4:59.25641
  • #3400 IM SCY4:22.80638
  • #4200 Free SCY1:52.39584
Projected (age 17)
702
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1400 IM SCY4:13.03714
  • #2500 Free SCY4:51.11697
  • #31650 Free SCY17:02.85696
  • #4100 Free SCY48.51675
College Ceiling (age 21)
1130range 6441166
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Fly SCYCONF43.801167
  • #2100 Free SCYCONF40.421167
  • #3200 IM SCY1:43.881007
  • #4400 IM SCY3:47.56982
Coach viewPIe ≈ 41(2446)typical outcome D3 (89%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Fly SCY, 100 Free SCY, 200 IM SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Caleb

Building toward recruiting peak — currently D2/D3 Realistic.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (702 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 644 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
1650 Free SCY17:22.2815:28.70−113.58s
500 Free SCY4:59.254:25.96−33.29s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 128 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Dickinson College

MenCentennialD3

Match

Your Team Fit

525

Recruit median

490

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Hartwick College

MenEmpire 8D3

Safety

Your Team Fit

457

Recruit median

370

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Luther College

MenARCD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

611

Recruit median

420

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Franklin & Marshall College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

778

Recruit median

550

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Anderson University (IN)

MenHCACD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

612

Recruit median

370

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.