Swimmer profile
Lucien Espinosa
Male15-16St Croix Swim ClubMN · CENTRAL
SR Rating
NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 seasonBased on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.
- #1200 Fly SCY1:59.06663
- #21650 Free SCY17:27.12649
- #3100 Fly SCY53.33646
- #4500 Free SCY5:00.42634
Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.
- #1200 Fly SCY1:54.68741
- #2100 Fly SCY51.18731
- #350 Free SCY21.58730
- #4200 IM SCY1:57.32699
College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.
- #150 Free SCYCONF18.461166
- #2200 IM SCYCONF1:39.571144
- #3100 Fly SCY45.611033
- #4200 Fly SCY1:43.271015
Refine your College CeilingTesting
Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.
What this means for Lucien
Building toward recruiting peak — currently D2/D3 Realistic.
Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (733 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.
Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.
What time drops unlock D1 Mid-Major
Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 653 to 750, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.
| Event | Current | Target | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Fly SCY | 1:59.06 | 1:47.05 | −12.01s |
| 1650 Free SCY | 17:27.12 | 15:39.73 | −107.39s |
Best school matches
Top 5 of 133 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.
Ouachita Baptist University
Men • GAC • D2
Your Team Fit
795
Recruit median
780
In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.
Vassar College
Men • Liberty League • D3
Your Team Fit
445
Recruit median
440
In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.
Widener University
Men • MAC • D3
Your Team Fit
643
Recruit median
410
Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.
Franklin & Marshall College
Men • Centennial • D3
Your Team Fit
841
Recruit median
550
Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.
Gettysburg College
Men • Centennial • D3
Your Team Fit
841
Recruit median
540
Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.
Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?
Custom college fit
Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.
682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.