Swimmer profile

Ella Fleming

Female15-16Edina Swim ClubMN · CENTRAL

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 15
Current (today)
595
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1400 IM SCY4:58.60610
  • #2500 Free SCY5:37.52594
  • #31650 Free SCY19:47.56571
  • #4200 IM SCY2:22.21570
Projected (age 17)
655
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1200 Free SCY1:59.82683
  • #21650 Free SCY19:03.30640
  • #3400 IM SCY4:54.17638
  • #4500 Free SCY5:34.37611
College Ceiling (age 21)
689range 595807
D2/D3 RealisticD1 Mid-Major

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1200 Free SCY1:55.49763
  • #2400 IM SCY4:51.54655
  • #3500 Free SCY5:32.50621
  • #4200 Fly SCY2:17.80614
Coach viewPIe ≈ 49(3056)typical outcome D3 (82%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 200 Free SCY, 200 Fly SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ella

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (655 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 595 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
400 IM SCY4:58.604:56.51−2.09s
500 Free SCY5:37.525:35.10−2.42s
1650 Free SCY19:47.5619:26.42−21.14s
200 IM SCY2:22.212:15.81−6.40s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 161 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Swarthmore College

WomenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

635

Recruit median

540

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Dickinson College

WomenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

635

Recruit median

500

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Augustana College (IL)

WomenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

561

Recruit median

420

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Union College (NY)

WomenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

635

Recruit median

490

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Illinois Wesleyan University

WomenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

635

Recruit median

470

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.