Swimmer profile

Jaxon Ersland

Male15-16Boilermaker AquaticsIN · CENTRAL

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
580
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1100 Breast SCY1:01.59622
  • #2200 Free SCY1:54.14557
  • #3200 Breast SCY2:19.97554
  • #4400 IM SCY4:39.36531
Projected (age 17)
693
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Breast SCY56.85791
  • #2100 Fly SCY53.49641
  • #3200 Free SCY1:50.58613
  • #4200 Breast SCY2:15.64609
College Ceiling (age 21)
1107range 5801145
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Fly SCYCONF43.801167
  • #2100 Breast SCYCONF49.951166
  • #3100 Free SCY43.55933
  • #4200 Free SCY1:41.19800
Coach viewPIe ≈ 50(3156)typical outcome D3 (89%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Fly SCY, 100 Free SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Jaxon

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (693 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 580 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
100 Breast SCY1:01.591:00.02−1.57s
200 Free SCY1:54.141:50.91−3.23s
200 Breast SCY2:19.972:10.98−8.99s
400 IM SCY4:39.363:58.21−41.15s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 131 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Gettysburg College

MenCentennialD3

Match

Your Team Fit

586

Recruit median

540

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Widener University

MenMACD3

Match

Your Team Fit

427

Recruit median

410

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Skidmore College

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

544

Recruit median

460

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

586

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Augustana College (IL)

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

586

Recruit median

410

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.