Swimmer profile

Ethan Groisman

Male15-16New Trier AquaticsIL · CENTRAL

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 16
Current (today)
579
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1200 Back SCY2:01.32597
  • #2200 Free SCY1:53.05574
  • #3500 Free SCY5:12.27564
  • #4100 Free SCY52.16543
Projected (age 17)
709
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1200 Back SCY1:52.29753
  • #2200 Free SCY1:46.06695
  • #3500 Free SCY4:55.84664
  • #4100 Free SCY49.29643
College Ceiling (age 21)
1162range 5791167
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Fly SCYCONF43.801167
  • #2200 Free SCYCONF1:29.231167
  • #3200 Back SCYCONF1:37.031167
  • #4100 Breast SCY50.971098
Coach viewPIe ≈ 50(3156)typical outcome D3 (89%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Fly SCY, 100 Breast SCY are improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so they rank into the top 4 at age 21 even though they aren't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which events project as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Ethan

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (709 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 579 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
200 Back SCY2:01.321:57.92−3.40s
200 Free SCY1:53.051:49.77−3.28s
500 Free SCY5:12.274:51.52−20.75s

School matches

School matches activate once your SR Rating is published. The curated set spans NCAA D1 P5 programs in this pilot, with the school list growing as we expand coverage.