Swimmer profile

Lucas Smith

Male15-16Bayside AquaticsMD · EASTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
Late developerage 15
Current (today)
483
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1100 Free SCY53.75496
  • #2200 Free SCY2:00.08479
  • #350 Free SCY24.94473
  • #4100 Fly SCY59.67461
Projected (age 17)
735
D2/D3 Realistic

Trajectory projected to end of high-school junior year — recruiting peak.

  • #1100 Free SCY46.31776
  • #2100 Fly SCY50.84746
  • #350 Free SCY22.46647
  • #4100 Back SCY53.94632
College Ceiling (age 21)
1153range 4831165
Blue Chip

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Fly SCYCONF43.801167
  • #2100 Free SCYCONF40.421167
  • #3100 Back SCYCONF44.311140
  • #450 Free SCY19.411003
Coach viewPIe ≈ 74(5283)typical outcome D3 (80%)
Why the College Ceiling lineup differs: 100 Back SCY is improving fastest vs. the NCAA D1 cut, so it ranks into the top 4 at age 21 even though it isn't in today’s top 4. That’s a real recruiting signal — shows which event projects as the strongest college pathway.

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for Lucas

Building toward recruiting peak — currently Building Base.

Recruiting conversations start in earnest at the end of sophomore year (NCAA contact rules let coaches reach out June 15 of sophomore year for most sports including swimming). Your projected rating (735 → D2/D3 Realistic) is the more meaningful number for that window. Continue building broad event coverage — the top-4 weighting rewards multiple strong events.

Maturity context: Your data shows late-developer trajectory — continued steep improvement past age 15. That's exactly the kind of pattern that under-rates well-developed seniors but signals strong upside.

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 483 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
100 Free SCY53.7545.93−7.82s
200 Free SCY2:00.081:42.15−17.93s

School matches

School matches activate once your SR Rating is published. The curated set spans NCAA D1 P5 programs in this pilot, with the school list growing as we expand coverage.