Swimmer profile

John Lanza

Male17-18Lakeridge Swim TeamSN · WESTERN

SR Rating

NCAA D1 cut anchored • 2026 season
age 18
Current (today)
564
Building Base

Based on current PBs vs. NCAA D1 cut times.

  • #1100 Back SCY55.71574
  • #2500 Free SCY5:13.04560
  • #3200 Free SCY1:54.22556
  • #4100 Free SCY51.83553
Projected
564
Building Base

You're at or past recruiting peak. SR Projected here equals SR Current — no forward projection is applied past age 17.

  • #1100 Back SCY55.71574
  • #2500 Free SCY5:13.04560
  • #3200 Free SCY1:54.22556
  • #4100 Free SCY51.83553
College Ceiling (age 21)
572range 564722
Building BaseD2/D3 Realistic

College junior year. Range reflects developmental uncertainty — wider for younger swimmers and late developers.

  • #1100 Back SCY55.35585
  • #2500 Free SCY5:12.21565
  • #3200 Free SCY1:53.79563
  • #4100 Free SCY51.60561
Coach viewPIe ≈ 50(3156)typical outcome D3 (89%)

Refine your College CeilingTesting

Tell us about your swimmer’s growth. We use trajectory data by default; your input fine-tunes the ceiling range. Not saved — refresh resets to default.

What this means for John

Building Base recruit, D2/D3 Realistic ceiling.

Recruiting window is active. Your optimistic ceiling projects to D2/D3 Realistic territory through college junior year. The meaningful gap between Current and Ceiling reflects college-years upside coaches should weigh in their evaluation — particularly if biological maturation is still ongoing.

Maturity context: The Building Base → D2/D3 Realistic ceiling-range transition is the late-developer story: data signal alone doesn't flag it, but the spread between conservative and optimistic ceilings suggests biological development may not yet be complete. (We're working on a parent-input layer to refine this — see methodology §4.7.)

What time drops unlock D2/D3 Realistic

Each row shows the time required in that event alone to push SR Rating Current from 564 to 600, holding the other three events fixed. Only physiologically reachable drops (≤15% per event) are shown. In practice swimmers improve across multiple events at once, so real progress will lift faster than these single-event deltas suggest.

EventCurrentTargetΔ
100 Back SCY55.7153.04−2.67s
500 Free SCY5:13.044:57.69−15.35s
200 Free SCY1:54.221:42.10−12.12s

Best school matches

Top 5 of 128 curated programs that actually fit. Use the picker below to evaluate any other school.

Pilot data

Wheaton College (IL)

MenCCIWD3

Match

Your Team Fit

450

Recruit median

450

In line with this program's typical recruit — a natural fit.

Skidmore College

MenLiberty LeagueD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

523

Recruit median

460

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Augustana College (IL)

MenCCIWD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

479

Recruit median

410

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Franklin & Marshall College

MenCentennialD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

664

Recruit median

550

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

University of Scranton

MenLandmarkD3

Safety

Your Team Fit

586

Recruit median

450

Above this program's typical recruit median — you're a top-of-class addition.

Selection: Realistic-tier first (sorted by Team Fit), padded with closest Reach or Stretch only if fewer than 5 Realistic matches exist. Display order: D1 → D2 → D3 within the picks. How is this calculated?

Custom college fit

Pick a specific school to see the full per-event analysis.

682 programs catalogued across NCAA D1, D2, and D3. Roughly half have real scraped rosters; the rest run on calibrated placeholder data while the T-166 cleanup expands coverage.